Working Papers

Comments welcome

• Trade Costs and Inflation Dynamics

  Albert Queralto (FRB), Ricardo Reyes-Heroles (FRB), and Mikaël Scaramucci (FRB)
  PDF

  Preliminary Draft. July 2024.

• Exchange Rate Disconnect and the Trade Balance

  Martin Bodenstein (FRB), Nils Gornemann (FRB), Ignacio Presno (FRB)
  PDF

  First version: February 2024. This version: June 2024.

• Global Flight to Safety, Business Cycles, and the Dollar

  Martin Bodenstein (FRB), Nils Gornemann (FRB), Ignacio Presno (FRB), Andrea Prestipino (FRB), Albert Queralto (FRB), and Andrea Raffo (FR Minneapolis)
  LinkPDF

  First version: September 2023.

• Understanding Growth at Risk: A Markov-Switching Approach

  Dario Caldara (FRB), Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia (FRB), and Francesca Loria (FRB)

  First version: June 2020.